一些愛情故事是永恒的。羅密歐與朱麗葉。愛洛綺斯和阿貝拉。還有微軟和雅虎。在周四的紐約媒體會議上，微軟首席執行長鮑爾默(Steve Ballmer)預計，在公司習慣于以低價出售自己之前，并購活動還會減少。道瓊斯通訊社的一篇文章援引鮑爾默的講話報導說，在經濟重入正軌前沒有人非常清楚資產價值應該是多少。但誰會需要并購交易呢？鮑爾默也激發了新一輪收購雅虎的猜測，他說他對同雅虎新任首席執行長巴茨(Carol Bartz)討論搜索合作一事持開放態度。當然，鮑爾默的講話沒有什么新意；幾個月來他一直覬覦雅虎的搜索業務，并重申了今年2月份時調整后的公司策略，即他更愿同雅虎達成搜索交易，而不是直接的收購。而且顯而易見的是：從鮑爾默上次看好雅虎以來僅有的變化就是時間的流逝和雅虎迎來了一位新的CEO。新CEO可能更加包容，但時間是把雙刃劍。的確，盡管微軟一直青睞這家網絡搜索和廣告公司，但雅虎的市值卻出現了下降，這會降低交易的價值。與此同時，對競爭對手谷歌市場主導地位的反壟斷擔憂也在上升。但在另一方面，微軟和雅虎在互聯網搜索市場的份額仍在下降，標準普爾分析師Jim Yin在3月11日的研究報告中預計，微軟在互聯網搜索引擎領域的市場份額還將繼續下降。微軟和雅虎在過去兩年里都出現了明顯的下降，目前也沒有理由預計這種趨勢會出現放緩或逆轉。微軟希望同雅虎結成搜索聯盟，以在搜索業務中發展壯大。為了實現能與谷歌相抗衡的那種規模，雙方可能都離不開對方。但如果兩家公司不能證明他們的市場份額將出現上升，規模經濟的優勢可能并不足道。爬得越高，往往摔的越狠。Heidi Moore相關閱讀雅虎對管理層重新洗牌 2009-02-27微軟高管重視研發 愿與雅虎商談交易 2009-02-25微軟推出網絡瀏覽器Internet Explorer 8 2009-03-19蓋茨重登世界首富寶座 2009-03-12?本文涉及股票或公司document.write (truthmeter('2009年03月20日12:25', 'GOOG'));Google Inc. (Cl A)總部地點：美國上市地點：納斯達克股票代碼：GOOGdocument.write (truthmeter('2009年03月20日12:25', 'YHOO'));雅虎公司英文名稱：Yahoo! Inc.總部地點：美國上市地點：納斯達克股票代碼：YHOOdocument.write (truthmeter('2009年03月20日12:25', 'MSFT'));Microsoft Corp.總部地點：美國上市地點：納斯達克股票代碼：MSFT


Some love stories are eternal. Romeo and Juliet. Heloise and Abelard. And Microsoft and Yahoo.At a media conference in New York on Thursday, Microsoft Chief Executive Steve Ballmer said he expects to see fewer acquisitions until companies get used to selling at lower prices. 'Nobody quite knows what asset values should be until the economy re-sets,' Ballmer is quoted as saying in a Dow Jones Newswires article.But who needs a deal? Ballmer also set off a whole new round of Yahoo speculation, saying he would be open to discussing a search partnership with Yahoo's new chief, Carol Bartz.Sure, Ballmer's statement isn't really anything new; he has been panting after Yahoo's search capabilities for months, and he reiterated at the software giant's strategy update in late February that he preferred a search deal with Yahoo but no outright acquisition. And make no mistake: the only things that have changed since Ballmer last made eyes at Yahoo is the passage of time and the fact that the Sunnyvale, Calif., company has a new chief executive.A new CEO may be more receptive, but time is a double-edge sword. Sure, while Microsoft has stalked the Web search and advertising company, Yahoo's market value has declined - which would make any deal cheaper - and antitrust concerns over the market dominance of rival Google have picked up.But on the flip side, both Microsoft and Yahoo still are losing market share in Internet search, and Standard & Poor's analyst Jim Yin expects that Microsoft 'will continue to lose marketshare in Internet search engine,' according to a March 11 research note. That decline has been visible over the past two years at both Microsoft and Yahoo, and there is little reason to expect that to ease or reverse itself.Microsoft wants a search partnership with Yahoo in order to get bigger in the search business. The companies may really need each other to achieve the kind of scale that could challenge Google. But the advantage of size may not be enough if the two companies don't prove that together their market share will rise. A bigger stone only drops harder.Heidi Moore

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